When will gay marriage be legal in the US?

[Notta]

From a friend of mine on Live Journal:

Remember Nate Silver? The statistics guru behind FiveThirtyEight.com, which successfully predicted the presidential election outcome in every single state?

Now he's put together a regression model based on demographic and political trends to forecast the future of gay marriage in America.

His findings? By 2016 most states will have legalized gay marriage (guess which ones won't? Hint: It rhymes with "The mouth."), with the remaining states trickling in later, with Mississippi last in 2024.

Time will tell.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/04/will-iowans-uphold-gay-marriage.html

An interesting scenario. Iowa and Vermont have supported gay marriages in the past week, and Washington, D.C. voted to recognize any marriage as legal as long as it is legal where it was performed.

[Yahoo!!]

I am surprised this cannot be conducted on a federal level. I am not certain about the separation of state and federal powers in the USA. It is only a matter of time. I think this issue will be similar to interracial marriages.

In Canada, the same-sex marriage thing was set to a vote, passed, then set to a free-vote and passed once more. It has been laid to rest, never to be heard of again. No one cares about the issue anymore other than a fringe fundie group. It is a non-issue frankly. Alberta did raise some issues, but they were silently put down (thankfully).

Society has not collapsed in Canada. Churches are not forced to perform the marriages. We have not suffered apocalypse. I don't understand why some Americans are so distraught over the issue.:dunno:

[Notta]

Well, Canada doesn't have that pesky 'states rights' clause in its constitution. 50 states -- 50 different ways of handling the issue.